1
-
8
of
8
results (0.63 seconds)
Sort By:
-
Gaining Trust in Predictive Models—an Actuarial Perspective
order to understand this model selection process, it’s essential for the validator to understand how various ... duration is more significant than moneyness in the MIC table below. (see Figure 5) Figure 5 Illustrative Example ...- Authors: David Alison FSA (David)
- Date: Sep 2021
- Competency: Communication; External Forces & Industry Knowledge; Results-Oriented Solutions; Strategic Insight and Integration; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: The Financial Reporter
- Topics: Predictive Analytics>Modeling techniques; Predictive Analytics>Quality control & model governance; Technology & Applications>Artificial intelligence & machine learning
-
Deep Learning and Actuarial Experience Analysis
Deep Learning and Actuarial Experience Analysis Deep learning neural network applied to ... analysis for post-level term lapse and mortality. Neural networks, Mortality Assumption, Persistency 5/16/2019 ...- Authors: Kevin Kuo, Robert Crompton
- Date: May 2019
- Competency: Results-Oriented Solutions
- Publication Name: CompAct
- Topics: Experience Studies & Data; Experience Studies & Data>Mortality; Experience Studies & Data>Policyholder or participant behavior - Experience ; Predictive Analytics>Modeling techniques; Predictive Analytics>Programming languages & tools
-
When Affordability Savings Do Not Reduce Costs
mean can benefit your fantasy team and next year’s pricing. INTRODUCTION TO REGRESSION TO THE MEAN Regression ... the park in a season, compared to an average batter’s 15. There is a meaningful and persistent gap in those ...- Authors: Tony Pistilli
- Date: Dec 2020
- Competency: Results-Oriented Solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Health Watch
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Regression analysis; Predictive Analytics>Modeling techniques; Predictive Analytics>Quality control & model governance
-
Better Care Through Understanding the Customer Not Just the Patient
types of data exist outside a health plan or provider’s walls that would enable us to develop a more holistic ... data sources that can help inform us of a member’s needs and wants. The first two are publicly available ...- Authors: James Dolstad, Craig Cartossa, Justin Hartmann
- Date: Dec 2021
- Competency: Results-Oriented Solutions; Strategic Insight and Integration; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Health Watch
- Topics: Health & Disability; Health & Disability>Health care; Health & Disability>Health care quality; Health & Disability>Health insurance; Health & Disability>Health risks; Health & Disability>Payment models; Predictive Analytics; Health & Disability>Provider networks; Health & Disability>Provider risk; Predictive Analytics>Modeling techniques
-
GET BETTER ACQUAINTED WITH YOUR KNOWN UNKNOWNS
GET BETTER ACQUAINTED WITH YOUR KNOWN UNKNOWNS Uncertainty of a predictive model is a fact ... predictions to the number of heads expected. A mortality analysis case study illustrates how the Bayesian ...- Authors: Dan Kim, Boyang Meng
- Date: Apr 2020
- Competency: Results-Oriented Solutions
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Experience Studies & Data>Mortality; Predictive Analytics>Modeling techniques; Predictive Analytics>Quality control & model governance
-
Exploiting While Exploring: An Introduction to Bayesian Optimization
Definitions and Side Notes If this is new to you, let’s define what a hyperparameter is versus a more familiar ... space, we use a surrogate model to model our model’s hyperparameters. Specifically, we choose a Gaussian ...- Authors: Nicholas Hanewinckel
- Date: Jun 2021
- Competency: Results-Oriented Solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Life Insurance; Predictive Analytics>Modeling techniques; Predictive Analytics>Programming languages & tools
-
Give Me Some Credibility: Addressing the Challenge of Volatility in Value-Based Contracts—Part 2
improve credibility enough that a larger provider's own prior period experience can be used directly, ... for providers to trust. Questions of the form “it's not clear or fair that I should be measured based ...- Authors: Maria Knox, James Pisko, Keith Passwater
- Date: May 2023
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge; Results-Oriented Solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Health Watch
- Topics: Health & Disability; Health & Disability>Health care; Health & Disability>Health care quality; Health & Disability>Health insurance; Predictive Analytics; Health & Disability>Provider networks; Health & Disability>Provider risk; Predictive Analytics>Modeling techniques
-
Predictiveness vs. Interpretability
interpretability, in the context of life insurance mortality. The two types of models compared are generalized ... trees. DATA USED This study used single life mortality experience data provided by 23 companies for ...- Authors: Kimberly Steiner, Boyang Meng
- Date: Oct 2019
- Competency: Results-Oriented Solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: CompAct
- Topics: Predictive Analytics; Predictive Analytics>Modeling techniques